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Madison Keys vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com
By Wojtek Kolan
At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Keys vs Ostapenko analysis and find out who is favored!
Madison Keys vs Jelena Ostapenko Important H2H Prediction Stats:
Head-to-head: Keys 3 - 2 Ostapenko
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Keys has won 46.39% of points on his second serve, while Ostapenko has won 44.58%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Keys, in recent form, has won 57.53% of his opponent's second serve points, while Ostapenko has won 58.43%. The same stats for first serve returns are 37.59% and 37.16% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Keys has saved 58.87% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Ostapenko has saved 56.85% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Keys has won 70.45% of matches played (W/L 31/ 13), with Ostapenko winning 67.19% (W/L 43/ 21) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Keys has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 73% (W/L 46/ 17), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 53% (W/L 17/ 15). Ostapenko has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 70% (W/L 48/ 21), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 56% (W/L 136/ 107).
- Player level: In the last year, Keys has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 57.89% of matches (W/L 11/ 8), where as Ostapenko has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 56% of matches (W/L 14/ 11). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 5 times before with Keys winning 3 times. They have played 10 sets in total, with Keys winning 6 and Ostapenko winning 4. The last match between Keys and Ostapenko was at the Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha, 14-02-2023, First, Hard with Jelena Ostapenko getting the victory 7-5 6-2.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:24:7.
- Deciding set H2H prediction: Keys and Ostapenko have played a deciding set 1 times, with Keys winning 1 times and Ostapenko 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
- Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Keys winning 0, and Ostapenko 1.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Keys has played against opponents with an average rank of 103.39 while Ostapenko has played against players with an average rank of 119.19.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Keys has won 64% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Ostapenko has won 71% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Keys has converted 45.88% of breakpoint opportunities, and Ostapenko has converted 45.26% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
12
Rank
7
High
29
Age
R
Plays
3
Total2
1
Hard1
1
Clay0
0
Indoor0
1
Grass1
11
Rank
5
High
26
Age
R
Plays
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
W
W
W
Form
W
L
W
W
L
W
W
W
L
W
64% (374-212)
Career Total W/L
63% (385-230)
74% (14-5)
YTD W/L
71% (25-10)
$15,284,067
Career Prize Money
$10,383,707
1
YTD Titles
2
Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.
| stats | Madison Keys | Jelena Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| All H2H Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Sets Won | 6 | 4 |
| Games Won | 54 | 48 |
| Aces (Total) | 20 | 14 |
| DFs (Total) | 11 | 27 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:24:7 | 1:24:7 |
| 1st Serve % | 66% (228/344) | 59% (204/347) |
| 1st Serve Win% | 67% (153/228) | 67% (136/204) |
| 2nd Serve Win% | 44% (51/116) | 45% (64/143) |
| BPs Won% (Total) | 38% (17/45) | 54% (14/26) |
| Return Points W% | 42% (147/347) | 41% (140/344) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 75% (3/4) | 25% (1/4) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 0% (0/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Deciding Set Win% | 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| 1st set W, W | 100% (2/2) | 67% (3/2) |
| 1st set W, L | 0% (2/0) | 33% (3/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 33% (3/1) | 0% (2/0) |
| Winning Player | Losing Player | Score | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7-5 6-2 |
Stats 
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Madison Keys
52%
(
29 of
56)
1st Serve %
65%
(
47 of
72)
4
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
2
83%
(
24 of
29)
1st Serve Won
62%
(
29 of
47)
56%
(
15 of
27)
2nd Serve Won
36%
(
9 of
25)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
30%
(
17 of
56)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
34 of
72)
73
Total Points Won
55
|
||||
| 6-4 7-5 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
68%
(
49 of
72)
1st Serve %
60%
(
55 of
91)
5
Aces
4
2
Double Faults
7
67%
(
33 of
49)
1st Serve Won
60%
(
33 of
55)
57%
(
13 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
47%
(
17 of
36)
25%
(
4 of
16)
Break Points Won
40%
(
2 of
5)
36%
(
26 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
45%
(
41 of
91)
87
Total Points Won
76
|
||||
| 6-3 0-0 ret. |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Madison Keys
54%
(
21 of
39)
1st Serve %
53%
(
24 of
45)
0
Aces
2
6
Double Faults
2
76%
(
16 of
21)
1st Serve Won
58%
(
14 of
24)
33%
(
6 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
33%
(
7 of
21)
50%
(
3 of
6)
Break Points Won
25%
(
1 of
4)
44%
(
17 of
39)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
24 of
45)
46
Total Points Won
38
|
||||
| 7-5 6-2 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
69%
(
41 of
59)
1st Serve %
63%
(
41 of
65)
4
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
2
73%
(
30 of
41)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
22 of
41)
44%
(
8 of
18)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
11 of
24)
50%
(
5 of
10)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
36%
(
21 of
59)
Rtn Points Won
49%
(
32 of
65)
70
Total Points Won
54
|
||||
| 6-7(1) 6-4 6-2 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
70%
(
67 of
96)
1st Serve %
60%
(
58 of
96)
6
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
8
70%
(
47 of
67)
1st Serve Won
71%
(
41 of
58)
48%
(
14 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
39%
(
15 of
38)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
43%
(
3 of
7)
36%
(
35 of
96)
Rtn Points Won
42%
(
40 of
96)
101
Total Points Won
91
|
||||
Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| stats | Madison Keys | Jelena Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| YTD W/L | 74% (14/5) | 71% (25/10) |
| Sets Win/Loss | 66% (29/15) | 63% (52/30) |
| Games Win/Loss | 55% (224/183) | 54% (419/357) |
| Hard Win/Loss | 60% (3/2) | 68% (13/6) |
| Clay Win/Loss | 79% (11/3) | 67% (8/4) |
| Indoor Hard W/L | 0% (0/0) | 100% (4/0) |
| Grass Win/Loss | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Aces pg | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| Aces Total | 61 | 120 |
| DFs per game | 0.24 | 0.4 |
| DFs Total | 48 | 150 |
| Avg Match Time | 1:37:24 | 1:31:24 |
| Avg Opp Rank | 99.26 | 134.37 |
| 1st Serve % | 65% (863/1320) | 59% (1347/2298) |
| 1st Serve W% | 65% (564/863) | 68% (915/1347) |
| 2nd Serve W% | 46% (212/457) | 45% (424/951) |
| BPs Won% Total | 46% (78/170) | 45% (129/285) |
| Return Pts W% | 45% (606/1341) | 45% (1040/2310) |
| Slam W/L | 100% (1/0) | 75% (3/1) |
| Masters W/L | 71% (10/4) | 60% (9/6) |
| Cups W/L | 0% (0/0) | 67% (2/1) |
| Main Tour W/L | 75% (3/1) | 85% (11/2) |
| Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Challenger W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Futures W/L | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| Best of 3 Sets W% | 74% (14/19) | 71% (25/35) |
| Best of 5 Sets W% | 0% (0/0) | 0% (0/0) |
| TBs Win% (Total) | 100% (5/5) | 86% (6/7) |
| Deciding Set W% | 83% (5/6) | 83% (10/12) |
| 1st set W, W | 93% (14/13) | 95% (21/20) |
| 1st set W, L | 7% (14/1) | 5% (21/1) |
| 1st set L, W | 20% (5/1) | 36% (14/5) |
Madison Keys Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Renata Zarazua
73%
(
40 of
55)
1st Serve %
68%
(
34 of
50)
2
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
5
65%
(
26 of
40)
1st Serve Won
41%
(
14 of
34)
27%
(
4 of
15)
2nd Serve Won
19%
(
3 of
16)
78%
(
7 of
9)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
45%
(
25 of
55)
Rtn Points Won
66%
(
33 of
50)
63
Total Points Won
42
|
6-3 6-2 | H2H | ||
| F |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Danielle Rose Collins
62%
(
28 of
45)
1st Serve %
65%
(
39 of
60)
1
Aces
2
3
Double Faults
5
68%
(
19 of
28)
1st Serve Won
49%
(
19 of
39)
53%
(
9 of
17)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
6 of
21)
38%
(
6 of
16)
Break Points Won
33%
(
1 of
3)
38%
(
17 of
45)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
35 of
60)
63
Total Points Won
42
|
6-1 6-2 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Liudmila Samsonova
76%
(
38 of
50)
1st Serve %
53%
(
29 of
55)
0
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
4
61%
(
23 of
38)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
15 of
29)
50%
(
6 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
23%
(
6 of
26)
60%
(
6 of
10)
Break Points Won
67%
(
2 of
3)
42%
(
21 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
62%
(
34 of
55)
63
Total Points Won
42
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Xinyu Wang
64%
(
41 of
64)
1st Serve %
63%
(
33 of
52)
2
Aces
0
4
Double Faults
0
80%
(
33 of
41)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
18 of
33)
35%
(
8 of
23)
2nd Serve Won
42%
(
8 of
19)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
17%
(
1 of
6)
36%
(
23 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
50%
(
26 of
52)
67
Total Points Won
49
|
7-5 6-0 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
75%
(
48 of
64)
1st Serve %
56%
(
23 of
41)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
3
71%
(
34 of
48)
1st Serve Won
61%
(
14 of
23)
56%
(
9 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
44%
(
8 of
18)
67%
(
4 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
10)
33%
(
21 of
64)
Rtn Points Won
46%
(
19 of
41)
62
Total Points Won
43
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Sorana Cirstea
73%
(
35 of
48)
1st Serve %
62%
(
28 of
45)
5
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
3
71%
(
25 of
35)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
14 of
28)
54%
(
7 of
13)
2nd Serve Won
29%
(
5 of
17)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
2)
33%
(
16 of
48)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
26 of
45)
58
Total Points Won
35
|
6-2 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Beatriz Haddad Maia
55%
(
42 of
76)
1st Serve %
61%
(
62 of
102)
3
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
3
67%
(
28 of
42)
1st Serve Won
56%
(
35 of
62)
44%
(
15 of
34)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
18 of
40)
54%
(
7 of
13)
Break Points Won
83%
(
5 of
6)
43%
(
33 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
48%
(
49 of
102)
92
Total Points Won
86
|
6-4 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
68%
(
45 of
66)
1st Serve %
68%
(
65 of
96)
3
Aces
2
4
Double Faults
5
69%
(
31 of
45)
1st Serve Won
55%
(
36 of
65)
48%
(
10 of
21)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
11 of
31)
39%
(
7 of
18)
Break Points Won
50%
(
3 of
6)
38%
(
25 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
49 of
96)
90
Total Points Won
72
|
6-0 4-6 6-3 | H2H | ||
| SF |
Stats
Iga Swiatek
Player
Madison Keys
72%
(
36 of
50)
1st Serve %
62%
(
28 of
45)
0
Aces
5
0
Double Faults
0
69%
(
25 of
36)
1st Serve Won
54%
(
15 of
28)
79%
(
11 of
14)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
80%
(
4 of
5)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
3)
28%
(
14 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
24 of
45)
60
Total Points Won
35
|
6-1 6-3 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Madison Keys
Player
Ons Jabeur
65%
(
53 of
82)
1st Serve %
62%
(
39 of
63)
3
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
0
62%
(
33 of
53)
1st Serve Won
72%
(
28 of
39)
59%
(
17 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
46%
(
11 of
24)
57%
(
4 of
7)
Break Points Won
57%
(
4 of
7)
39%
(
32 of
82)
Rtn Points Won
38%
(
24 of
63)
74
Total Points Won
71
|
0-6 7-5 6-1 | H2H | ||
view more
Jelena Ostapenko Recent Matches Played
Before:
| opponent | Score | H2H | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R1 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Jaqueline Cristian
53%
(
35 of
66)
1st Serve %
52%
(
34 of
65)
2
Aces
1
6
Double Faults
3
74%
(
26 of
35)
1st Serve Won
53%
(
18 of
34)
52%
(
16 of
31)
2nd Serve Won
45%
(
14 of
31)
56%
(
5 of
9)
Break Points Won
38%
(
3 of
8)
36%
(
24 of
66)
Rtn Points Won
51%
(
33 of
65)
75
Total Points Won
56
|
6-4 7-5 | H2H | ||
| QF |
Stats
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
76%
(
37 of
49)
1st Serve %
73%
(
46 of
63)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
81%
(
30 of
37)
1st Serve Won
67%
(
31 of
46)
50%
(
6 of
12)
2nd Serve Won
35%
(
6 of
17)
43%
(
3 of
7)
Break Points Won
0%
(
0 of
0)
27%
(
13 of
49)
Rtn Points Won
41%
(
26 of
63)
62
Total Points Won
50
|
6-2 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Rebecca Sramkova
57%
(
62 of
108)
1st Serve %
71%
(
82 of
116)
7
Aces
4
6
Double Faults
6
58%
(
36 of
62)
1st Serve Won
52%
(
43 of
82)
48%
(
22 of
46)
2nd Serve Won
53%
(
18 of
34)
50%
(
6 of
12)
Break Points Won
40%
(
6 of
15)
46%
(
50 of
108)
Rtn Points Won
47%
(
55 of
116)
113
Total Points Won
111
|
4-6 6-4 7-6(3) | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
58%
(
60 of
104)
1st Serve %
72%
(
69 of
96)
1
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
4
53%
(
32 of
60)
1st Serve Won
45%
(
31 of
69)
45%
(
20 of
44)
2nd Serve Won
41%
(
11 of
27)
50%
(
9 of
18)
Break Points Won
50%
(
7 of
14)
50%
(
52 of
104)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
54 of
96)
106
Total Points Won
94
|
6-4 5-7 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Anastasia Potapova
51%
(
39 of
76)
1st Serve %
50%
(
30 of
60)
0
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
64%
(
25 of
39)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
15 of
30)
43%
(
16 of
37)
2nd Serve Won
43%
(
13 of
30)
60%
(
6 of
10)
Break Points Won
33%
(
3 of
9)
46%
(
35 of
76)
Rtn Points Won
53%
(
32 of
60)
73
Total Points Won
63
|
6-4 6-2 | H2H | ||
| R4 |
Stats
Ons Jabeur
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
52%
(
26 of
50)
1st Serve %
56%
(
28 of
50)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
77%
(
20 of
26)
1st Serve Won
64%
(
18 of
28)
50%
(
12 of
24)
2nd Serve Won
18%
(
4 of
22)
83%
(
5 of
6)
Break Points Won
50%
(
1 of
2)
36%
(
18 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
56%
(
28 of
50)
60
Total Points Won
40
|
6-0 6-4 | H2H | ||
| R3 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Maria Lourdes Carle
63%
(
34 of
54)
1st Serve %
77%
(
56 of
73)
1
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
4
56%
(
19 of
34)
1st Serve Won
48%
(
27 of
56)
45%
(
9 of
20)
2nd Serve Won
24%
(
4 of
17)
50%
(
7 of
14)
Break Points Won
44%
(
4 of
9)
48%
(
26 of
54)
Rtn Points Won
58%
(
42 of
73)
70
Total Points Won
57
|
6-3 6-3 | H2H | ||
| R2 |
Stats
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
68%
(
34 of
50)
1st Serve %
68%
(
38 of
56)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
2
71%
(
24 of
34)
1st Serve Won
39%
(
15 of
38)
31%
(
5 of
16)
2nd Serve Won
50%
(
9 of
18)
86%
(
6 of
7)
Break Points Won
50%
(
2 of
4)
42%
(
21 of
50)
Rtn Points Won
57%
(
32 of
56)
61
Total Points Won
45
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| R1 |
Stats
Linda Noskova
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
60%
(
43 of
72)
1st Serve %
63%
(
24 of
38)
8
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
2
72%
(
31 of
43)
1st Serve Won
50%
(
12 of
24)
38%
(
11 of
29)
2nd Serve Won
7%
(
1 of
14)
100%
(
5 of
5)
Break Points Won
11%
(
1 of
9)
42%
(
30 of
72)
Rtn Points Won
66%
(
25 of
38)
67
Total Points Won
43
|
6-3 6-1 | H2H | ||
| Rubber 2 | 2-6 7-5 6-3 | H2H | |||
view more
Keys Vs Ostapenko Prediction H2H Images To Share
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Madison Keys
Potential H2H Matches This Week For Jelena Ostapenko
Today's H2H Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
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